My interest in looking beyond folksonomies is rooted in a longstanding desire to attract a critical mass sufficient to generate a wide-spread wisdom-of-crowds effect. Currently, del.icio.us is still way to esoteric for nearly all my friends and relatives, and even a sizable percentage of the developers I know. I can see clearly that collaborative meaning-making will eventually catch on, but the specific application which will gain mainstream appeal is still fuzzy.
In my mind, there are three interdependent issues which conspire to make the transition to the big time a challenge.
1) ATTENTION: Far too many people still leave the job of aggregation and filtering to big media. I think they’re going to need to be lured into sharing their preferences in any real depth. I personally would love to have my attention trail logged implicitly, available for augmentation and publication as I saw fit (how much of myself I reveal, and to whom). If I only trust a small group of people, then only they ever get to see my attention trails. If I could insure this, then I wouldn’t mind implicitly logging my activity (online, or with GPS cell phones, offline as well). Is that really feasible though? Maybe with …
2) IDENTITY 2.0: There is a very interesting podcast that Josh Porter and Alex Barnett had with Dick Hardt (check out his identity presentation, if you haven’t seen it) and Kim Cameron on Identity 2.0. At one point during the conversation, I believe it is Kim that raises the concern of privacy as an objection to widely shared attention metadata. Perhaps I’m reading more into ID 2.0 than is there, but shouldn’t partial or limited authentication be possible? If so, then I could have some say over how the attribution for my attention metadata appears, all the way from completely anonymous to fully public. Partial authentication looks like: “over 40, male, living in Texas”, all authenticated without divulging more than that. Granted, I don’t think ID 2.0 is there yet, but I hope that we’re moving in that direction. There is still another issue…
3) TRUST: I don’t just mean trusting the protocols, or members of the larger public. I really mean trust of the collective itself. The biggest objection that I hear when I talk about Wisdom of Crowds is that group-think or the “stupidity of crowds” can’t be reliably overcome. I don’t think enough people realize that the NY Times derives is credibility from the masses believing in it (not to mention the value of the dollar). As we move deeper into the mainstream acceptance of a web 2.0 culture, I think a larger portion of people will become increasingly aware of, and comfortable with, the power of and wisdom of the collective. But, I think they will need to be led to this awakening gently.
I’ve been thinking about such an application for a while, and as I watch the abundant offerings flow out of the innovative minds of fresh young upstarts, it seems more realistic every day. Yet, it seems far too few, even among the hard-core bleeding edge, are looking that far into the future. I too am wary of vapor-ware nature of pipe-dreams, but I’d like to spend some time thinking about the cross-functionality which will allow culture to become self-aware in a way analogous the sentience of human beings individually.
Folksonomies are a great start, but they only get us part of the way there. This chasm is wider than del.icio.us, or even allpeers or others can accomplish. What are some requirements and feature sets that can be established as points of reference on this new frontier? Is this too ambitious a conversation to have in a one hour panel discussion? If so, how do we wish to scale the presentation back?
Related posts:
On Intelligence - The application...